Tuesday, January 20, 2015

Ukraine: Are They Russyans?

     An apparent offensive in eastern Ukraine has European governments scrambling to arrange a cease fire.  What appears to be a major action near Luhansk involves heavy artillery fire and mobilized vehicles with troops deployed in large numbers.  Kiev military officers report that Ukraine rebels have advanced with the support of Russyan ground forces.  Ukraine military units are under severe strain and do not seem able to stop the advances.  This could presage an all out push into the Donbass Region of eastern Ukraine.
      World finance ministers are in Davos Switzerland tomorrow to discuss international financial problems.  Russya might show up, but it is a meeting that has more hot air than blast of the Sirocco in summer.  With the focus of world leaders on Paris, France, and Syria, Russyan leaders may think that they'll get a pass on their Ukraine assault forces.  The CIA no doubt has their own drones monitoring all armed forces activities in the area, and Pres. Obama will give his OK to continue to provide support to Kiev.  His plans to tighten sanctions on Russyan financial institutions, causing more pain across the Moscow plain.  Ras Putin may still be in power, but that power may be getting a bit thin as his oligarch buddies take note of diminished bank account numbers and restrictions on travel and money transfers.
       With recent moves by the Swiss National Bank and sinking prices for oil, Russyans will have a long winter ahead they may extend through the spring and summer.  The Old KGB soldier may just have gone too far down south.  Even the Chechens are giving him "what for' as they take to the streets in protest.  Hmmmm.  I'm sure he's not about to stir up the Chechens again.

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